MotoGP '06 championship predictions...

Discussion in 'Motorcycle Racing' started by Peer Landa, Mar 21, 2006.

  1. Peer Landa

    Peer Landa Guest

    Not necessarily what I hope for, but what I think is most likely
    the standings when the season is over:

    1. Rossi
    2. Melandri
    3. Edwards
    4. Hayden
    5. Capirossi
    6. Gibernau
    7. Nakano
    8. Checa
    9. Pedrosa
    10. Vermeulen


    What I really wish gonna happen? Well, as always I'll root for
    the underdogs, whether it's a small factory or an underpaid
    rider.

    -- peer
     
    Peer Landa, Mar 21, 2006
    #1
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  2. Peer Landa

    sturd Guest

    Julian Bond says:
    So what is the spread at the online betting parlors? Is the one
    that advertises at the track bet to win or something like that?


    Go fast. Take chances.
    Mike S.
     
    sturd, Mar 22, 2006
    #2
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  3. Peer Landa

    sturd Guest

    Champ points to:
    Cool. Odds are at the right. First MotoGP bets are for fastest
    qualifying time.
    As of 8:25 EST March 22, odds for top three finish (I can't find bets
    to win?)
    are:

    Rossi 1.45:1
    Capirossi 1.5
    Gib 1.5
    Melandri 2.2
    Hayden 2.8
    Pedrosa 4
    Checa 5
    Nakano 5
    Edwards 5
    Hopkins 6


    Go fast. Take chances.
    Mike S.
     
    sturd, Mar 22, 2006
    #3
  4. Peer Landa

    sturd Guest

    Wait - that's for a top three finish IN QUALIFYING

    Maybe you can't bet on the race until after???


    Go fast. Take chances.
    Mike S.
     
    sturd, Mar 22, 2006
    #4
  5. Peer Landa

    pablo Guest

    Here my simulation results based on a simplistic Excel spreadhseet, some
    quantified gutfeel data and a simple formula...

    1. rossi
    2. edwards
    3. capirossi
    4. melandri
    5. gibernau
    6. hayden
    7. tamada
    8. checa
    9. roberts
    10. pedrosa
    11. nakano
    12. hopkins
    13. elias
    14. stoner
    15. vermeulen
    16+ ellison... hofmann... cardoso... depuniet

    It looks kind of weird to me, I'd like Hayden to be further up, and have a
    feeling he very well may, but then again I have to go by my spreadsheet
    criteria. Perhaps I ranked past experience and pedigree/results too highly,
    and pressure to perform and hunger too lowly.
     
    pablo, Mar 23, 2006
    #5
  6. Peer Landa

    pablo Guest

    Tamada has the team infrastructure behind him -obviously someone out there
    likes him- and despite a very underwhelming 2005 he does have a bit of a
    resume. As mentioned, previous results and team infrastructure was factored
    in quite heavily. As far as Edwards goes, despite rumors to the contrary I
    have always said I think he has a lot of ability he hasn't shown in MotoGP.
    Perhaps the continuity in a team will help. It better!
    Enjoy the vacation!

    ....pablo
     
    pablo, Mar 23, 2006
    #6
  7. 1. Rossi
    2. Capirossi
    3. Pedrosa
    4. Melandri
    5. Gibernau

    And yes, I've seen 1. practice times so call me a cheater, but I doubt that
    Pedrosa will start on the front row. I actually expect him to start from
    second or third row.
     
    Morten Becker-Eriksen, Mar 24, 2006
    #7
  8. Peer Landa

    bram stolk Guest

    Huh... vermeulen 15th?
    He will finish top-8, and more likely top-5, if not better.

    He's riding a bike with pneumatic valves now, I've heard...

    Bram
     
    bram stolk, Mar 25, 2006
    #8
  9. Peer Landa

    bram stolk Guest

    My prediction:

    1 Rossi
    2 Pedrossa
    3 Mellandri
    4 Edwards
    5 Vermeulen
    6 Hayden
    7 Gibernau
    8 Nakano
    9 Puniet
    10 Hopkins
    11 Stoner
     
    bram stolk, Mar 25, 2006
    #9
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