No comments on Sepang sessions...?

Discussion in 'Motorcycle Racing' started by pablo, Feb 5, 2010.

  1. pablo

    pablo Guest

    Not that it uncovers any major trends though, and conditions weren't
    optimal to boot.
     
    pablo, Feb 5, 2010
    #1
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  2. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Well Honda (or at least Pedrosa) has effectively a brand new bike. New
    frame, swingarm, engine, ohlins, fairing.

    Hard to draw any conclusions as it was stupidly hot and they lost half a
    day to rain. And of course, it's only testing.

    Doe the engines used in these tests (and the one day ones later in the
    season) count towards their 6?
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 5, 2010
    #2
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  3. pablo

    Andrew Guest

    How about Edwards running in 3rd and saying the M1 has a lot more grunt down
    low?
    That is interesting as hell. Vale says it is quite fast, as well.
    What did they do to move the power down lower and still keep the bike fast?
    I wonder how many races the engine will do.
     
    Andrew, Feb 5, 2010
    #3
  4. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    There's a bunch of bets, or maybe a drinking game
    - Which of the factories will have an engine blow up first on a factory
    bike?
    - How many race before Suzuki elect to start from the back of the grid
    in order to get a fresh engine?
    - Which Rookie will have a huge high side first? (already won by Marco
    Simoncelli)
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 5, 2010
    #4
  5. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Rossi remains the best Yamaha rider.
    Honda riders still have problems. The Bot creeps up on a good time. The
    others are confused.
    Stoner remains far ahead of the other Ducati riders.
    Again, Spies impresses with the methodical way he approaches it. No huge
    high sides, just continuous steady progress.
    He's going to surprise this year with the way he can get the Ducati
    solidly into the mid field. (love that faint praise!)
    - 4 riders making a proper race of it at the front. 2 Texans and
    occasionally others 10 secs back. That's not so bad.
    That's going to be interesting. Why don't they go all the way...
    - 800 free prototypes
    - 1000cc restricted bore, valve springs only (no pneumatic, no desmo)
    - 1200cc twins with a weight advantage
    Then in a couple of years they can phase out the 800s and further
    tighten the 1000-1200 rules. Perhaps they could introduce a complicated
    rolling handicap system for the 1200-2s. And a 3 part final qualifying
    session. And a bizarre points system like AMA and BSB.

    Oh. Wait.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 6, 2010
    #5
  6. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Bloody crashnet. Oh well. Somewhere on crash.net are a bunch of photos
    from the Sepang test. And some of them are of Pedrobot and Simoncelli on
    the Honda.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 6, 2010
    #6
  7. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    With a new engine configuration. aka Big Bang, or soft bang or
    something.
    Seems to me this year's Honda has a bigger fairing that is almost
    identical to the Yamaha and not that dis-similar to the Ducati. And a
    new frame. And new suspension. And everyone gets one. And yet Pedrosa is
    still significantly faster than everyone else.
    Edwards complained last year about lack of power when the engine
    lifetime limits started to bite. But now he's saying how powerful this
    year's engine is. It'll be interesting to see what he says 3-6 meetings
    into the season.
    If Espargaro ends up 3rd Ducati and close in times to Hayden then he
    will have done well. And I think he might manage that. But then who
    knows what Barbera will do. Run people off the track?
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 6, 2010
    #7
  8. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Err, why? Rossi 1s faster than Edwards at Sepang doesn't seem surprising
    in the slightest. Why should Stoner being 1s faster than Hayden be
    surprising?
    Or that Stoner genuinely is 1s faster than anyone else on a Ducati. At
    Sepang.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 6, 2010
    #8
  9. pablo

    sturd Guest

    Mark N believes:
    To paraphrase, "Beliefs are like assholes, everybody's got one."

    In this case, a second difference between two riders on identical
    MotoGP bikes is not unusual at all. Besides rider ability, which
    can be a second or more easily, bike setup can be another big
    hunk of time.


    Go fast. Take chances.
    Mike S.
     
    sturd, Feb 8, 2010
    #9
  10. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Especially at Sepang with a > 120 secs lap time.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 8, 2010
    #10
  11. pablo

    Mark N Guest

    I agree setup can make that sort of difference, that is evidenced in
    the time progress riders make over a weekend, at least back when they
    actually had tire choices to consider. But I don't agree that there is
    evidence that two top riders on identical bikes have talent-based one-
    second gaps at this level, especially when you consider factors like
    what Champ mentions, a bike being better-suited for one rider than
    another. There really is no "proof" either way, of course, but what I
    look at is the lap differences between guys who have the best machines
    their factory builds and has been impacted most by their input/desires
    and guys who assumedly aren't as good, who aren't in that position and
    have to use older versions of the same stuff with no real input. The
    gap there can be something like a second or so or even less at the
    average track, and there's just too much else going on to attribute
    much of that to pure riding talent and intellegence.

    Anyway, it's just what people believe, and I happen not to believe
    those gaps exist at the cutting edge that is GP's premier class, these
    guys are (mostly) all too good and so the machines running too close
    to their theoretical limits. You believe otherwise. Of course, I also
    think anyone who subscribes to the Burgess "80% rider, 20% bike"
    notion is also likely to believe that the differences can be that
    great, they almost have to.
     
    Mark N, Feb 8, 2010
    #11
  12. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Suggest you go back and look at the practice sessions for Sepang 2009
    FP1 5 riders covered by 1s
    FP2 8 riders covered by 1s
    QP 4 riders covered by 1s

    Typical splits between the top rider on each machine and the second on
    the same machine are in the 0.4s to 1.5s range.

    If the equivalent splits in this test session are less, it would be easy
    to explain it because; Everyone is a bit rusty after the break; they're
    spending most of the time *testing* not chasing a time; Several of the
    bikes are significantly different from last year; Bridgestone are also
    testing in exceptional heat; the sessions were upset by rain; Nobody
    wants to get hurt right now. And most everyone was quite a way off QP
    perhaps partly because there's not the same motivation to surf the edge.

    And in general team mates finish in the same order as they always do.

    So clearly it's completely obvious that:-
    - Ducati are building a bike for Stoner only and hurting all their other
    riders
    - Honda are building a bike for Pedrosa only and hurting all their other
    riders
    - Honda are giving the satellite teams an uncompetitive bike
    - Yamaha are giving Tech3 a detuned engine
    - Suzuki don't know how to do it, but Capirossi flatters what they bring
    - If you're not an ex-250 midget you haven't got a hope
    - Spies is the great white hope.

    It's not hard to find stuff to justify all of that. But after a while
    some of it just looks like fruitcake paranoid conspiracies.

    Or perhaps
    - Stoner really is an alien. He does actually have an alien ability to
    hit the edge on every single lap he does without falling off
    - Hayden isn't an alien. He's just plain slower than Stoner. Still
    faster than a lot of others but just not in the same league as the top 4
    - Pedrosa has worked out how to use his light weight and is just plain
    faster then Dovi
    - Rossi and Lorenzo are very close in ability but they're both
    significantly faster than Edwards and always have been
    - The jury's still out on Spies. Maybe he's another Lorenzo. Maybe he's
    a bit better than Edwards. Maybe he'll have a year like Toseland's
    first. We'll see.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 9, 2010
    #12
  13. pablo

    Julian Bond Guest

    Getting the excuses prepared already? Seems a little premature.
     
    Julian Bond, Feb 9, 2010
    #13
  14. pablo

    Mark N Guest

    Perhaps so. Even you and Pablo won't be calling for his head until he
    goes three or four races without a win...
     
    Mark N, Feb 9, 2010
    #14
  15. pablo

    pablo Guest

    what's new. when it comes to 2010 predictions, a safe one is that
    consiracy theories will continue to rum amuck in RMR... jfk got shot
    by euromed midgets.

    i think Spies is amazing, and that he will show it with a top 5
    position. i think Spies will do quite well in MotoGP. his approach is
    impeccable. and the Yamaha doiesn't seem to be any worse for not being
    geared towards midgets, since neither Rossi nor Edwards fall into that
    category.

    of course, if Edwards was Spanish.. can you imagine the rampant cries
    about favoritism despite lack of results would be uttered by our
    resident crusader against the evil euromed superpowers that constantly
    conspire against that meek helpless former colony...? never won a race
    on ce ion 7 years blah blah... geez, at least Checa *won* a race here
    and there. and was ten pounds heavier than that texas tornado :-D

    i don't worry about Spies much. he'll carve his place and will be
    champion in the next few years, no doubt. if anyone out there is more
    promising, i haven't met then yet. Pedrosa will *never* be champion.
    Stonr and Lorenzo make huge mistakes under pressure, and seem to
    seasoned to move away from that. like Schwantz back in the day, it
    will take for some higher force (i would not call that luck) to
    finally win their title despite having shown they can be very fast on
    a given day. within 2 years it'll be Rossi on a Ducati against Spies
    as the top Yamaha guy. let's dream.
     
    pablo, Feb 11, 2010
    #15
  16. pablo

    pablo Guest

    5th in the championship. And yes, I do very well remember I bet on a
    MotoGP memory that will see you donate cash to a charity of my
    choice. :-D
     
    pablo, Feb 13, 2010
    #16
  17. Rossi should go to Kawasaki. The bike was good enough at one point
    but needed to be properly set up and ridden.
     
    Bruce Richmond, Feb 14, 2010
    #17
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