Weight Watching

Discussion in 'UK Motorcycles' started by Hog, Oct 2, 2006.

  1. Hog

    Ace Guest

    Not at all.

    <snip>

    Nicely put, thanks.
    You've studied it? Shit, I'd better shut up then...

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    Ace, Oct 6, 2006
    #61
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  2. Hog

    catman Guest

    I really doubt that I'm any better now than I was then, and I really
    *really* hated my degree.

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    catman, Oct 6, 2006
    #62
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  3. Hog

    catman Guest

    Erm. OK, but development of immunity has nothing to do with the process
    of evolution per se. Evolution by definition is a product of random
    mutation and breeding across generation. An immune response isn't

    Actually, having said that, and bearing in mind that I'm rather pissed,
    I suspect you are downright wrong. ISTR it is possible to show an
    immune response to an antigen to which you have *never* been exposed.
    Ergo, development of immunity *can* be totally separate from the
    existence / exposure to any given pathogen.
    Not sure what the first sentence actually means. The selection isn't
    random, you are correct, but unless there is specific selective
    pressure, then no selection occurs IYSWIM
    Again, bearing in mind that I'm pissed, that's bollocks.
    Operative word *too* much harm.
    Over simplification. One of the most important factors is *not*
    lethality, it is speed of lethality. It matters not if a virus is 100%
    lethal if it takes long enough to kill to allow an infected host to breed.
    Of course. My money is on airborne filovirus or similar.

    I think not, but as ever ISTBC.

    Not trying to be offensive here, but most of the arguments you've just
    put forward are the ones that we had to be taught were wrong even before
    they tried to teach us what was right. The concepts are so persuasive
    simply because they are intuitive. Sadly just in-accurate.
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    catman, Oct 7, 2006
    #63
  4. Hog

    catman Guest

    Verdigris wrote:

    But *each* step will have to confer some advantage.
    Because the resistance is always present in the population, but seldom
    confers an advantage.


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    catman, Oct 7, 2006
    #64
  5. Hog

    MattG Guest

    HIV is not very contagious, with a probability of infection of one in a
    hundred for a woman having unprotected vaginal sex with a HIV positive
    man. With this in mind, if HIV were to be rapidly damaging to the
    health of the host this would lead to very low levels of infection.
    Now, to say that "it's not in the interests of the virus to kill off
    it's host too quickly", well, I can see what you're getting at. Leaving
    aside the use of language for the moment. If HIV becomes more rapidly
    harmful, whilst retaining it's low transmission rate, this would lead
    to a fall in infection rates - possibly in the virus dying out. If it
    becomes less damaging to the host, whilst retaining it's low infection
    rate, or becoming more infectious, this would lead to a higher
    prevalence of the disease. If you follow Darwin's view on selfish genes
    this is the more likely case.
    The immune system is a product of evolution. The immune system does
    evolve, by the same process as everything else. Viral evolution is
    influenced by the environment, that environment is the host. If,
    through random mutation, a virus is formed that is able to spread to
    more individuals, either because it is less harmful to the host (giving
    it longer to spread) or it is more infectious, then this will become
    the predominant strain. If the immune system of the host is able to
    combat the virus then it will be killed off, if during the replication
    of one of these viral particles a strain arises that the immune system
    cannot cope with, then it will spread and become the predominant
    strain. So whilst it's quite true to say that an immune response isn't
    evolution, it is the result of evolution and it's an evolutionary
    environment.
    Yes it is, innate immunity. Through the arrangement of MHC, HLA, etc.
    there are a number of antigens to which you are conferred innate
    immunity. However, think about how this happened. Yep, evolution again.
    So we've considered the evolution of the virus, let's think about the
    evolution of the immune system. Viruses that are likely to kill before
    the host reproduces, or to leave the host less able to compete for a
    mate are going to have an effect on evolution. If amongst a population
    one member has a mutation that means they are less susceptible to the
    effects of one such virus, they are at a selective advantage. If this
    mutation is passed on to their offspring, then they too are at a
    selective advantage. This is perpetuated. The majority of the
    population will eventually have this mutation, conferring a level of
    herd immunity to the rest.
    There is always selective pressure, there are mutations which are not
    favourable, these may or may not spread, or ones that deleterious,
    these are selected against. Any mutation which benefits the propagation
    of the viral DNA is selected for, a mutation resulting in a less
    harmful course (meaning more opportunity to spread) would be selected
    for. This has already happened. HIV 1-B, the subtype which is believed
    to have spread from Thailand, and is associated with spread via drug
    users, is less harmful to the host and was becoming more prevalent -
    however, it appears to have recombined with HIV 1-D, resulting in HIV
    1-E. The new 1-E strain retains the virulence of both, meaning it is
    more infective than either of the two parent strains, but retained the
    the host damage levels of 1-D. Such a change is likely to happen again,
    over time less harmful strains will become prevalent.
    It is and it isn't. The human genome, as I'm sure you know, is made up
    lots of DNA that is never transcribed. There is strong evidence to show
    that quite a lot of this is due to viral DNA having been incorporated
    into the host genome. Look at mitochondria, it's not a new way of
    making sure DNA spreads. To say that we get infected by lots of viruses
    which happily reproduce in our systems without bothering us isn't quite
    right, although it's true that we do acquire a number of viruses
    without noticing.

    And there is certainly a lot of truth to the last sentence of Verdi's
    paragraph. Retroviruses are rife in the the rest of the animal kingdom,
    but do little harm. They simply introduce their DNA in the genome of
    the host and that's about it. There is a retrovirus that affects
    talapoin monkeys, it's harmless to them, but in a zoo this virus spread
    to macaques - they all died rapidly.
    Spot on. There are two possible paths for a virus to take, one is to
    spread quickly and damn the damage to the host; the other is to spread
    more slowly, necessitating that the host is not damaged too quickly.
    Now, given that the easiest way for a virus to spread it's genes it to
    get something else to do it for them, as HIV does, it's likely that HIV
    will take the second path. Other viruses are different, of course.
     
    MattG, Oct 7, 2006
    #65
  6. Hog

    MattG Guest

    Of course, that should be Dawkins, not Darwin.

    Verdi take a look here, http://www.royalsoc.ac.uk/page.asp?id=1110 I
    think you'll find it interesting. I've not looked at them myself yet,
    so can't comment on the content.
     
    MattG, Oct 7, 2006
    #66
  7. Hog

    catman Guest

    Verdigris wrote:
    Ah *ha*. Definitely some confusion. Yes, inherited resistance *may* be
    as a result of exposure to a pathogen, but it may not be,
    Not really, sorry :) Wonder what my Immunology lecturers would make of
    it being a straw man?
    Bloody hell, this is UKRM, on a Saturday night!
    OK, start again
    I think you'll find that's wrong. Some virulent viral diseases
    originated in other hosts, but I very much doubt that 'more of the most'
    or indeed 'most' did. Of course, I have no evidence to support this
    other than the fact that through my entire degree cross species
    pathogenesis was only mentioned in reference to very specific cases.
    Also there is another problem there. Take an example like tobacco
    mosaic virus (if memory serves) Completely harmless to a tobacco plant,
    lethal (AIUI) to tomatoes. Which one is it's host population?

    I'm fairly sure that those diseases are relatively
    ITYF that *never* happens

    I think, on balance, maybe all of them. Having said that, the
    disclaimer still applies. Even if I am right, I'm not really sure I can
    explain it face to face, let alone over Usenet :)
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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #67
  8. Hog

    catman Guest

    Bacteria *possibly*

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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #68
  9. Hog

    catman Guest

    MattG wrote:

    *Everything* is a product of immunity. OK, so I phrased it badly (no
    surprise there) but given your obvious understanding of the subject, I
    think my meaning would be pretty clear.

    Check

    these may or may not spread, or ones that deleterious,
    With you so far
    In this case, indeed.
    Nicely put.

    Yes, I am aware that it does happen. I'm more at odds with the
    'numbers' implied.

    You seem to know rather more than I remember, so I shall stand to allow
    you to educate the pair of us :)

    Cheers
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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #69
  10. Hog

    catman Guest

    Verdigris wrote:
    For which I am grateful. No malice was intended

    Don't feel you have to. I really doubt I can make coherent argument in
    the flesh, let alone on Usenet, and I'll probably be technically wrong
    as well ;)



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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #70
  11. Hog

    Tunku Guest

    I've noticed this phenomona up my way too. All the serving wenches in my
    work are Polish. I now drink far too much coffee.
     
    Tunku, Oct 8, 2006
    #71
  12. Hog

    Tunku Guest

    Now you come to mention it...
     
    Tunku, Oct 8, 2006
    #72
  13. Hog

    Tunku Guest

    Would it be true to suggest that the most aggressive viri, ie. the ones
    that really **** up tthe host, would die out quickly because there would be
    less time to spread on account of topping off the host too quickly?
     
    Tunku, Oct 8, 2006
    #73
  14. Hog

    Ace Guest

    Quite so. As I said.
    Because unless the non-resistant forms are in some way at a
    disadvantage, there's no "evolutionary pressure" for the resistant
    ones to become dominant. So the species doesn't evolve from the
    resistant to the non-resistant form unless, as has been stated several
    times now, each tiny change confers such an advantage that the new
    form becomes the dominant one, or finds a new niche in which this is
    the case.

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    Ace, Oct 8, 2006
    #74
  15. Hog

    Cab Guest

    ^^^^
    *sigh*
     
    Cab, Oct 8, 2006
    #75
  16. Hog

    catman Guest

    Not really as a generalisation, no. It's a bit more complex than that.
    Not least that the population of any virus will have individuals (and
    probably colonies) that are more or less lethal than the 'typical'. To
    get the situation that you describe you'd have to have a population of
    virus that
    a) All were lethal beyond some specific level
    b) Were lethal at such a speed as to prevent their host(s) from
    reproducing as fast as the virus is killing it
    c) Were infectious enough to kill their entire host population
    d) Expressed the level of lethality in *all* examples of their host
    e) Were incapable of finding another host population before
    extermination of their 'normal' host

    I suppose there may be / have been viruses that meet those requirements,
    but we may never know :)

    High levels of virulence can help contain outbreaks, though. Something
    like Zaire which is ~80% lethal in man, for example, tends to produce
    outbreaks that rapidly die out as the local host population die. There
    are often some that are innately immune, some that survive and so on. No
    sign of the virus dying out though, although that may be evidence that
    the reservoir is actually in a different species, probably some monkey.

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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #76
  17. Hog

    catman Guest

    Better not wade through my post, then.

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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #77
  18. Hog

    MattG Guest

    Presuming you meant a product of evolution, yeah. Your meaning was
    fairly clear, but I wanted to state it thus as I wasn't entirely sure
    of what you were saying.
    Well, I've not got any statistics to hand, and the numbers are highly
    variable, depending upon which study you read.
    Heh, well it's an area of interest, covered broadly on my undergrad
    syllabus, which I've looked at a little further.
     
    MattG, Oct 8, 2006
    #78
  19. Hog

    Tunku Guest

    Wot? ah - I missed an 'i', I made up for it by an extra 't' somewhere else.
    Pikey keyboard and bad eyesight.
     
    Tunku, Oct 8, 2006
    #79
  20. Hog

    catman Guest

    Fair enough :)
    I kind of thought they might be.
    Some of the things you mentioned sparked things I was taught IYSWIM.

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    catman, Oct 8, 2006
    #80
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